TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Shamrocks - Hamilton
2–2
Manchester Flames - Engvik
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
335 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Hamilton 8.0%
Draw 7.9%
84.1% Manchester Flames - Engvik
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Major upset
3.66 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Hamilton, columns = Manchester Flames - Engvik.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.