TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Boch Blazers - Rice
2–3
Manchester Flames - Haskell
Current model vs. Result
227 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boch Blazers - Rice 25.4%
Draw 17.0%
57.6% Manchester Flames - Haskell
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.80 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boch Blazers - Rice, columns = Manchester Flames - Haskell.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.