TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
IHC East 12 - Cheslofska
5–3
Boston Jr Eagles - Birnbaum
Current model vs. Result
227 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC East 12 - Cheslofska 43.1%
Draw 16.7%
40.2% Boston Jr Eagles - Birnbaum
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.21 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC East 12 - Cheslofska, columns = Boston Jr Eagles - Birnbaum.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.