TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
IHC East 12 - Cheslofska
4–2
NorthStars - Conley
Current model vs. Result
227 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC East 12 - Cheslofska 20.6%
Draw 15.2%
64.2% NorthStars - Conley
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.28 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC East 12 - Cheslofska, columns = NorthStars - Conley.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.