TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
NorthStars - Conley
2–0
IHC West - Enwright
Current model vs. Result
227 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
NorthStars - Conley 50.7%
Draw 16.5%
32.8% IHC West - Enwright
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.98 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Conley, columns = IHC West - Enwright.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.