TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
NorthStars - Conley
1–4
IHC West - Enwright
Current model vs. Result
227 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
NorthStars - Conley 60.7%
39.3% IHC West - Enwright
Favored
Underdog
As expected
1.35 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Conley, columns = IHC West - Enwright.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.