TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll
1–6
IHC West - MacIsaac
Current model vs. Result
482 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll 8.9%
Draw 8.3%
82.8% IHC West - MacIsaac
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.27 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll, columns = IHC West - MacIsaac.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.