TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
IHC West - Villa
4–7
Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll
Current model vs. Result
482 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC West - Villa 34.4%
Draw 14.0%
51.5% Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.96 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Villa, columns = Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.