TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
IHC West - Villa
2–1
NorthStars - Fournier
Current model vs. Result
482 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC West - Villa 27.7%
Draw 14.1%
58.2% NorthStars - Fournier
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.85 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Villa, columns = NorthStars - Fournier.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.