TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
IHC West - Villa
1–9
IHC West - MacIsaac
Current model vs. Result
482 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC West - Villa 6.1%
Draw 6.5%
87.5% IHC West - MacIsaac
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.19 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Villa, columns = IHC West - MacIsaac.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.