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TOURNAMENT ELIMINATION FINAL Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll
4–3
IHC West - MacIsaac
UPSET

Current model vs. Result

482 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll 9.7% 90.3% IHC West - MacIsaac
Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll won
Favored Underdog
Major upset

3.37 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Terriers Red - Carroll, columns = IHC West - MacIsaac.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.