TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan
1–6
Minuteman Flames
Current model vs. Result
228 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan 22.8%
Draw 13.2%
64.1% Minuteman Flames
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.64 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan, columns = Minuteman Flames.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.