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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan
1–6
Minuteman Flames

Current model vs. Result

228 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan 22.8% Draw 13.2% 64.1% Minuteman Flames
Minuteman Flames won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.64 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan, columns = Minuteman Flames.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.