TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Seacoast Spartans
4–2
Minuteman Flames
Current model vs. Result
228 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Seacoast Spartans 22.9%
Draw 14.2%
62.9% Minuteman Flames
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.13 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Seacoast Spartans, columns = Minuteman Flames.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.