TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Seacoast Spartans
2–3
Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan
Current model vs. Result
228 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Seacoast Spartans 41.2%
Draw 16.8%
42.0% Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.25 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Seacoast Spartans, columns = Providence Capitals (North) - Meehan.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.