TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Final · Mar 08, 2026
Seacoast Spartans
3–4
Minuteman Flames
Current model vs. Result
228 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Seacoast Spartans 26.7%
73.3% Minuteman Flames
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.45 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Seacoast Spartans, columns = Minuteman Flames.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.