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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2013 - Rae
4–4
Boston Jr Terriers White - Trudeau
UPSET

Current model vs. Result

225 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Bay State Breakers 2013 - Rae 27.5% Draw 13.0% 59.5% Boston Jr Terriers White - Trudeau
Result: draw
Favored Draw Underdog
Major upset

2.94 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2013 - Rae, columns = Boston Jr Terriers White - Trudeau.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.