TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2013 - Rae
3–2
Bulldogs Hockey Club - Riley
Current model vs. Result
225 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Breakers 2013 - Rae 23.0%
Draw 14.0%
63.0% Bulldogs Hockey Club - Riley
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.12 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2013 - Rae, columns = Bulldogs Hockey Club - Riley.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.