TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Top Gun - Buonopane
8–5
Minuteman Flames - Gorman
Current model vs. Result
225 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Buonopane 25.5%
Draw 14.0%
60.5% Minuteman Flames - Gorman
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.97 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Buonopane, columns = Minuteman Flames - Gorman.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.