TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2014 Gold
3–1
Spartans - Davidson
Current model vs. Result
256 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Breakers 2014 Gold 21.3%
Draw 13.0%
65.8% Spartans - Davidson
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.23 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2014 Gold, columns = Spartans - Davidson.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.