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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Graham
4–2
Bay State Breakers 2014 Upper Gold

Current model vs. Result

262 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Flames - Graham 32.1% Draw 17.4% 50.5% Bay State Breakers 2014 Upper Gold
Minuteman Flames - Graham won
Favored Draw Underdog
Mild upset

1.64 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Graham, columns = Bay State Breakers 2014 Upper Gold.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.