TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Graham
4–2
Bay State Breakers 2014 Upper Gold
Current model vs. Result
262 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Graham 32.1%
Draw 17.4%
50.5% Bay State Breakers 2014 Upper Gold
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.64 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Graham, columns = Bay State Breakers 2014 Upper Gold.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.