TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
NorthStars - Macmillan
4–1
Top Gun - Connors
Current model vs. Result
262 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
NorthStars - Macmillan 30.8%
Draw 13.9%
55.3% Top Gun - Connors
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.70 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Macmillan, columns = Top Gun - Connors.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.