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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
IHC East 15 - Sangiorgio
5–5
Minuteman Flames - Deal
UPSET

Current model vs. Result

269 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

IHC East 15 - Sangiorgio 28.9% Draw 12.8% 58.3% Minuteman Flames - Deal
Result: draw
Favored Draw Underdog
Major upset

2.97 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC East 15 - Sangiorgio, columns = Minuteman Flames - Deal.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.