TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Deal
2–4
Boston Jr Terriers Red - Karlberg
Current model vs. Result
269 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Deal 27.7%
Draw 12.9%
59.4% Boston Jr Terriers Red - Karlberg
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.75 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Deal, columns = Boston Jr Terriers Red - Karlberg.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.