TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Northeast Generals - Hickey
3–4
Spartans - Knowlton
Current model vs. Result
269 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Northeast Generals - Hickey 33.4%
Draw 15.1%
51.5% Spartans - Knowlton
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.96 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northeast Generals - Hickey, columns = Spartans - Knowlton.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.