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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
NorthStars - Stamuli
2–6
IHC East 15 - Sangiorgio

Current model vs. Result

269 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

NorthStars - Stamuli 39.8% Draw 16.4% 43.8% IHC East 15 - Sangiorgio
IHC East 15 - Sangiorgio won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

1.19 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Stamuli, columns = IHC East 15 - Sangiorgio.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.