TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Shamrocks - Carney
2–0
Spartans - Knowlton
Current model vs. Result
269 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Carney 42.0%
Draw 17.1%
40.9% Spartans - Knowlton
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.25 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Carney, columns = Spartans - Knowlton.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.