TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Shamrocks - Carney
2–5
South Shore Kings - Szabo
Current model vs. Result
269 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Carney 30.2%
69.8% South Shore Kings - Szabo
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.52 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Carney, columns = South Shore Kings - Szabo.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.