TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Deal
4–6
Boston Jr Terriers Red - Karlberg
Current model vs. Result
269 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Deal 31.8%
68.2% Boston Jr Terriers Red - Karlberg
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.55 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Deal, columns = Boston Jr Terriers Red - Karlberg.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.