TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Flames
3–7
IHC West - Fairbarn
Current model vs. Result
231 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 31.0%
Draw 15.5%
53.5% IHC West - Fairbarn
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.90 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = IHC West - Fairbarn.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.