TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Top Gun
0–4
Boston Jr Eagles
Current model vs. Result
231 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun 21.0%
Draw 15.2%
63.8% Boston Jr Eagles
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.65 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun, columns = Boston Jr Eagles.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.