TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2015 UG
3–3
Providence Capitals (North) - Cuneo
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
409 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Breakers 2015 UG 12.5%
Draw 11.3%
76.2% Providence Capitals (North) - Cuneo
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Major upset
3.15 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2015 UG, columns = Providence Capitals (North) - Cuneo.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.