TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
Manchester Flames - King
0–5
Spartans - Dovich
Current model vs. Result
409 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Manchester Flames - King 10.9%
Draw 10.2%
78.9% Spartans - Dovich
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.34 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Manchester Flames - King, columns = Spartans - Dovich.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.