TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Gorman
0–1
South Shore Kings - Lavery
Current model vs. Result
409 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Gorman 32.8%
Draw 14.1%
53.1% South Shore Kings - Lavery
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.91 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Gorman, columns = South Shore Kings - Lavery.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.