TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Gorman
2–5
Bay State Breakers 2015 UG
Current model vs. Result
409 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Gorman 27.2%
Draw 17.1%
55.8% Bay State Breakers 2015 UG
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.84 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Gorman, columns = Bay State Breakers 2015 UG.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.