TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
Top Gun - Fairburn
2–2
Manchester Flames - King
Current model vs. Result
409 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Fairburn 41.4%
Draw 17.9%
40.7% Manchester Flames - King
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.48 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Fairburn, columns = Manchester Flames - King.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.