TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
Top Gun - Fairburn
2–5
Spartans - Dovich
Current model vs. Result
409 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Fairburn 11.6%
Draw 11.3%
77.1% Spartans - Dovich
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.38 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Fairburn, columns = Spartans - Dovich.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.