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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
IHC West - Carchia
2–3
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin

Current model vs. Result

240 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

IHC West - Carchia 26.8% Draw 12.6% 60.6% Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.72 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Carchia, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.