TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
IHC West - Carchia
2–1
NorthStars - Tuccio
Current model vs. Result
240 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC West - Carchia 33.1%
Draw 14.7%
52.1% NorthStars - Tuccio
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.60 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Carchia, columns = NorthStars - Tuccio.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.