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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
NorthStars - Tuccio
3–3
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
UPSET

Current model vs. Result

240 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

NorthStars - Tuccio 36.4% Draw 15.4% 48.2% Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Result: draw
Favored Draw Underdog
Major upset

2.70 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Tuccio, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.