TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
Shamrocks - Tavares
4–8
Minuteman Flames - Nute
Current model vs. Result
240 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Tavares 22.3%
Draw 11.0%
66.7% Minuteman Flames - Nute
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.58 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Tavares, columns = Minuteman Flames - Nute.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.