TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Spartans - Flood
0–8
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Current model vs. Result
240 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Spartans - Flood 13.0%
Draw 8.9%
78.1% Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.36 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Spartans - Flood, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.