TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Final · Mar 08, 2026
IHC West - Carchia
1–5
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Current model vs. Result
240 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC West - Carchia 30.7%
69.3% Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.53 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Carchia, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.