TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
IHC West - Carchia
7–5
Minuteman Flames - Nute
Current model vs. Result
240 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC West - Carchia 44.7%
55.3% Minuteman Flames - Nute
Favored
Underdog
As expected
1.16 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Carchia, columns = Minuteman Flames - Nute.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.