TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Northeast Generals - Miller
4–8
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Current model vs. Result
240 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Northeast Generals - Miller 15.4%
84.6% Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.24 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northeast Generals - Miller, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.