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TOURNAMENT ELIMINATION FINAL Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Northeast Generals - Miller
4–8
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin

Current model vs. Result

240 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Northeast Generals - Miller 15.4% 84.6% Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin won
Favored Underdog
As expected

0.24 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northeast Generals - Miller, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.