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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Manchester Flames - Legro
3–1
Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood

Current model vs. Result

447 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Manchester Flames - Legro 41.2% Draw 17.3% 41.6% Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood
Manchester Flames - Legro won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

1.28 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Manchester Flames - Legro, columns = Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.