TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood
2–4
Spartans - Voulgaris
Current model vs. Result
447 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood 11.6%
Draw 12.1%
76.3% Spartans - Voulgaris
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.39 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood, columns = Spartans - Voulgaris.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.