TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Shamrocks - Casey
2–7
Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood
Current model vs. Result
447 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Casey 17.4%
Draw 11.5%
71.0% Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.49 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Casey, columns = Providence Capitals (North) - Hopgood.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.