TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Shamrocks - Casey
1–6
Spartans - Voulgaris
Current model vs. Result
447 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Casey 2.5%
Draw 3.7%
93.8% Spartans - Voulgaris
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.09 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Casey, columns = Spartans - Voulgaris.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.