TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
Manchester Flames - Legro
3–6
Top Gun - Luccisano
Current model vs. Result
447 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Manchester Flames - Legro 31.4%
68.6% Top Gun - Luccisano
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.54 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Manchester Flames - Legro, columns = Top Gun - Luccisano.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.