TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Northern Cyclones - Bartlett
1–0
Spartans - Healey
Current model vs. Result
202 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Northern Cyclones - Bartlett 36.4%
Draw 16.0%
47.6% Spartans - Healey
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.46 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northern Cyclones - Bartlett, columns = Spartans - Healey.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.